The BJP did make some political mistakes in
Delhi, but these do not explain the landslide win for the Aam Aadmi Party with
around 96% of the seats and 54% of vote share. The ruling party at the centre has
done exceedingly well in the state assembly elections this year, in
continuation to their phenomenal performance in the national elections last
year.
Hence the margin of this defeat for the
ruling party at the Centre has to be put into perspective.
The people of a nation get the kind of
leaders they deserve. Time and again we have elected corrupt and criminal
elements as our political leaders, since we have a sizeable percentage of citizens
who are corrupt themselves. Many others believe that corruption cannot be done
away with.
The approval to this phenomenon gets
manifested when we say that it is fine if a politician is corrupt as long as he
“works”. The AAP challenged this traditional “political liberty” and claimed
that a government can run without corruption. Probably they were able to
justify the same during their 49 days stint, so even the skeptical voters in
the capital decided to give the party a chance.
Now, if the AAP is able to work and run a
government with minimal corruption for the next 5 years, then the same would be
expected of the traditional political parties as well.
We have also consistently voted along
religious and caste lines and probably this would continue at some level.
However a few political parties that projected themselves as the saviours of
the minorities and certain castes are down in the dumps. The ones in power need
to understand this.
The BJP fought the 2014 general elections
on a development agenda and did very well. Fundamentalists within the Hindu community
would always vote for the BJP and the ones in the minority communities would probably
always vote against the party.
The BJP had stormed into power at the
centre, because of sizeable section of voters who have nothing to do with
Hindutva, but believed in the idea of development of Narendra Modi and in his
ability to deliver.
However this section of voters in Delhi did
not like the disproportionate and unbridled personal criticism of Kejriwal.
They know that the latter had made political mistakes, but have faith in his
intent and honesty.
These voters abhor the utterances of the
Hindu hardliners and get frustrated when the Prime Minister keeps quiet.
Eventually they rearrange their political affiliations, which are not visible
over the social media or news debates, but lead to electoral upsets as seen in
Delhi.
Hindu hardliners especially over the social
media are doing more damage to the BJP and its image than any of its political
rivals. The BJP must take a serious note of this because if the hardliners are
not contained, they may dilute the development agenda of Modi and would
gradually become the overwhelming face of the party’s reign.
All political parties must realize that the
quality of their supporters and their political campaigning has to improve.
Some years down the line this may become the basic expectation of the voters
and then the parties would not be able to adapt suddenly.
The landslide victory of the AAP is bound
to have some national consequences. Regional parties in other states would try
to emulate some of the ideas of the young political party. The AAP would
eventually go national themselves and we may also have some clones springing
up.
Politics is a long term game. India is
changing and political parties who realize the changing expectations and mind
set of the Indian voter would survive in the long run. If the Congress can go
into political insignificance in the capital, then this can happen to any party
that takes the voter for granted.
The BJP also needs to do some serious
introspections since it is being seen as a better alternative to the Congress,
but not necessarily the best when there is a third option. The regional parties
that have a stronghold over certain states should be careful and work on their
agenda and manifesto.
Traditional Indian politics may be far from
over, but in Delhi we saw a beginning towards a cleaner and a more matured
political discourse. This needs to continue and a good performance in
governance by the AAP is critical, with minimum confrontation with the centre.
The BJP should also sincerely work together with the new state government. Voters
would keep a hawk eye on both.
The other political parties should also compete
with better ideas. Maybe some years down the line we would be able to choose
the best in politics and not be forced to choose the least evil.
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